Week 02: I Couldn't Help Myself

I ended up betting on a few moneylines to test out the system. So far? Not so stellar, but could be worse. Here are the results:

Rank	Pick	Vs	ML	Bet %	Bet Amt	W/L	Payout
1	TB	@ BUF	+170	35%	$8.49	L	$0.00
2	CLE	@ DEN	+160	27%	$7.69	L	$0.00
3	NYG	@ DAL	+130	20%	$7.00	W	$16.11
4	STL	@ WAS	+400	18%	$6.82	L	$0.00
5	DET	v. MIN	+400			L
6	MIA	v. IND	+155			L
7	NYJ	v. NE	+165			W
8	HOU	@ TEN	+240			W
9	ARI	@ JAC	+145			W
10	BAL	@ SD	+135			W
11	OAK	@ KC	+140			W
12	CIN	@ GB	+360			W
13	PIT	@ CHI	-145			L
14	CAR	@ ATL	+220			L
15
	Totals:		Bets:		$30.00	Payout:	$16.11
			Week Return:		-46.31%

Ouch. But it's experimental, not sure why I keep at the Moneylines. I've done iteration after iteration, and it doesn't work. Is the Moneyline the bet the house always wins?? Is it the slot machine of NFL betting?

Look out for Rankings, this week's bets, et al to come.

Bonus feature: I created a Monte Carlo simulator to simulate games 1,000 times. Not betting it, but back tests are promising. Very promising.