Saturday, September 19, 2009

Week 02: Results to Date (or, why a gambler should love me)

It occurs to me I've never published my full results before. Here they are, split 4 ways. The first two are based on picking EVERY game - All Picks. These are separated into unweighted (straight picks ATS) and weighted (weighted in a prioritized order - ie, pick 1 is better than pick 2 is better than... etc).

The second two groups are just BEST BETS. Best bets are the top picks of the week - the "arbitrage picks." These are also separated into unweighted (W/L ATS) and weighted (by how big a bet was placed on each).

The results are love inducing. See below:

All Picks (Unweighted)
Current Week 0-0-0
Current Season 8-8-0 50.00%
Overall 439-332-21 56.76%
All Picks (Weighted)
Current Week 0-0-0
Current Season 8-8-0 50.00%
Overall 466-334-22 58.04%
Best Bets (Unweighted)
Current Week 0-0-0
Current Season 0-0-0
Overall 216-148-10 59.09%
Best Bets (Weighted)
Current Week 0-0-0
Current Season 0-0-0
Overall 243-166-11 59.20%

Obviously, I'm 0-0 this week, and I've place zero bets yet this season, so I'm 0-0 this season for Best Bets. Otherwise, my favorite number: 59.20% on my best bets.

I don't have these numbers for Moneyline picks, since I'm still working on that system. Moneyline is far more complicated due to the payouts - I haven't quite figured out the best way, though I have a few good ways. The lesson? Ignore my crappy Moneyline picks, and jump on the picks ATS.

Questions? Hit me up in the comments.

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