Week 04 - Not the Prettiest Girl

Well, it wasn't the prettiest of weeks. A lot of uncalculated upsets, but at this point in the season, the box is just starting to really flesh out who the winners are. I also added another layer of volatility measurements (this time in terms of pure statistics against the average rather than points/spread ratios), and my back data seems to improve by it. So expect some new things potentially, including more games bet, for the coming weeks. That said, as the cash gets low, the bet sizes drop too. Sigh.

Here are the results:

Rank	Pick	Vs	Spd	Bet %	Bet Amt	W/L	Payout
1	GB	@ TB	+1	18%	$17.38	L	$0.00
2	ARI	@ NYJ	+1.5	18%	$17.29	L	$0.00
3	BAL	@ PIT	+5	17%	$16.63	W	$32.48
4	ATL	@ CAR	+6.5	17%	$16.39	L	$0.00
5	SF	@ NO	+5	16%	$15.95	L	$0.00
6	TEN	v. MIN	-3	15%	$14.59	W	$27.28

and

Rank	Pick	Vs	ML	Bet %	Bet Amt	W/L	Payout
1	BUF	@ STL	-360	39%	$13.94	W	$17.81
2	ATL	@ CAR	+240	31%	$11.17	L	$0.00
3	BAL	@ PIT	+190	29%	$10.39	L	$0.00

So GB not only killed me, but I can't figure them out. Is it possible TB is far better than expected?

I'll try to post the new rankings today, but it likely won't get done until tomorrow, as this is a busy week. More to come, stay tuned.