Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Week 05 - Bettor's Power Ranks - My Pats Suck

Well, all but the Packers game are reporting now (the injury to Rodgers is screwing it all up). And that means the power ranks are in, and they're looking good in my opinion.

Power Ranks ▲▼
1 TEN ▲1
2 BAL ▼1
3 NYG
4 TB ▲4
5 SD ▲2
6 DAL ▼2
7 PHI ▼4
8 CHI ▲3
9 NO ▲5
10 WAS ▲3
11 CAR ▲4
12 MIN ▼3
13 ARI ▼3
14 BUF ▼9
15 DEN ▼9
16 IND
17 JAC
18 SF ▼6
19 PIT ▼3
20 NE
21 HOU ▼2
22 SEA
23 CIN ▼5
24 DET
25 MIA
26 KC ▼6

A lot to like there - TEN at the top makes total sense, especially given how consistent they've been with (I can't believe it) Kerry Collins. And it's clear the theme of the first quarter of the year is defense, with BAL, TB, and NYG all floating to the top.

The real question is - why NE, why??? It's an overreaction to the MIA game before the bye, but it's still ugly. And here's why:

Rank GV Vol
1 NE MIN
2 NYG DET
3 CAR NO
4 DAL TEN
5 PIT CHI
6 SD SD
7 TB IND
8 WAS CAR
9 ARI DAL
10 BAL TB
11 CHI ARI
12 DEN JAC
13 JAC WAS
14 NO DEN
15 PHI HOU
16 SF NYG
17 IND BUF
18 BUF BAL
19 TEN PHI
20 HOU SF
21 KC CIN
22 MIN PIT
23 DET NE
24 MIA SEA
25 SEA KC
26 CIN MIA

Note the 23rd ranked volatility. Sigh. Here are the preliminary bets:

Rank Pick Vs Spd
1 CHI @ DET -3.5
2 BUF @ ARI +1
3 BAL v. TEN +3
4 TB @ DEN +3
5 PIT @ JAC +4
6 SF v. NE +3
7 IND @ HOU -3
8 MIN @ NO +3
9 MIA v. SD +6.5
10 WAS @ PHI +6
11 NYG v. SEA -7
12 CAR v. KC -9.5
13 CIN @ DAL +17

and...

Rank Pick Vs ML
1 PIT @ JAC +175
2 CHI @ DET -190
3 SF v. NE +160
4 TB @ DEN +150
5 BAL v. TEN +125
6 IND @ HOU -170
7 CAR v. KC -450
8 NYG v. SEA -320
9 NO v. MIN -165
10 PHI v. WAS -260
11 SD @ MIA -260

Loving the PIT pick on both the ML and Spread. Scared to death of CHI, this one feels like a trap. In DET after a lucky win against PHI, how long can CHI's defense keep them in every game? Orton is bound to screw the pooch, I'm just hoping not this week.

More to come...

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