Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Week 06 - War of Attrition

These are the kind of weeks that continue to make me nervous. The box wants me to bet only two game, and they are both those kind of games that make me poo myself. Uh, there I go again...

Here are the box's best bets for the week:

Rank Pick Vs Spd Bet %
1 BAL @ IND +4.5 52%
2 CAR @ TB +1 48%
3 GB @ SEA +2
4 MIA @ HOU +3
5 ARI v. DAL +5
6 PHI @ SF -5
7 NYG @ CLE -9
8 OAK @ NO +7.5
9 ATL v. CHI +3
10 NE @ SD +5.5
11 WAS v. STL -13.5
12 MIN v. DET -13
13 DEN v. JAC -3.5
14 NYJ v. CIN -6

and on the moneyline:

Rank Pick Vs ML Bet %
1 WAS v. STL -700 34%
2 NYG @ CLE -340 27%
3 BAL @ IND +170 21%
4 MIA @ HOU +140 18%
5 GB @ SEA +110
6 CHI @ ATL -150
7 PHI @ SF -230
8 DEN v. JAC -175
9 NYJ v. CIN -250
10 MIN v. DET -650
11 SD v. NE -250
12 DAL @ ARI -220
13 NO v. OAK -320

Spread Comments:
Indy being favored after that shockingly lucky win is questionable. Especially given the fact that BAL should have taken TEN to the mat last week. Still, I hate betting against Peyton. He's so... shifty. It's like betting against Indiana Jones - chances are, he'll punch your face, take your gun, and ride a passing mine car to safety. Eloquent, eh?

I'm not liking a bet against TB. I think it's a loser. I will be handing over some serious cash on what I think is a truly untested CAR team. The upside? At least I'm not taking the 'Skins giving 13.5! Silly box.

Moneyline Comments:
Ugh. I can't believe the suggestion is for me to take WAS at MINUS 700. Worst. Suggestion. Ever. The payout on a $10 bet at -700 is $1.40. Now there's a cost benefit that sucks my nuds. I do love the MIA over HOU pick, though - MIA is a stronger team than they get credit for, with solid O and D lines. HOU? Not bad, but certainly not much better than MIA.

Power ranks to come tomorrow.

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