Friday, September 12, 2008

Let it Ride: Capper's Week 2 Final Bets

My final bets are in. I liked so many of the moneyline picks, it was hard for me to keep my bet count down, so I didn't do my usual parlay system (4 3-team parlays using my top 9 bets), and instead did 3 parlays using my top 5 picks, 1 4-team teaser and 4 moneyline bets. The main problem i see is a lack of diversification, all my parlays overlap so if a couple go bad, the whole thing falls apart. Reminds me a lot of my favorite casino game, craps. Just praying that 7 doesn't show up and wipe me out....

Parlays:

1. GB (-3) over DET -- NE (+1) over NYJ -- PIT (-6.5) over CLE
2. GB (-3) over DET -- SD (+1) over DEN -- PIT (-6.5) over CLE
3. SD (+1) over DEN -- NE (+1) over NYJ -- NO (-1) over WAS

Teaser:

1. NYG (-2.5) over STL -- GB (+3) over DET -- NE (+7) over NYJ -- PIT (-1/2) over CLE

Moneyline:

1. IND (-130) over MIN
2. GB (-165) over DET
3. BUF (+175) over JAX
4. PHI (+245) over DAL

I love my underdog moneyline picks. In my mind these games could go either way, so i'll take my chances with the 'dogs and hopefully collect the bonus money. I will be looking for these types of picks all year.

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