Thursday, September 11, 2008

Week 02 - Bet 'Em High, Bet 'Em Hard

So here are the best of the best this week, with Moneylines in and spreads gone wild:

Rank Pick Vs Spd Bet %
1 NE @ NYJ +1.5 21%
2 GB @ DET -3 21%
3 TEN @ CIN +1 20%
4 BAL @ HOU +4.5 19%
5 NO @ WAS -1 19%
6 PHI @ DAL +7
7 MIN v. IND +2
8 SD @ DEN -1.5
9 CHI @ CAR +3
10 BUF @ JAC +5.5
11 OAK @ KC +3.5
12 TB v. ATL -7
13 MIA @ ARI +6.5
14 SF @ SEA +7
15 CLE v. PIT +6.5
16 STL v. NYG +9

And the Moneyline:

Rank Pick Vs Spd Bet %
1 GB @ DET -165 35%
2 PHI @ DAL +260 33%
3 BAL @ HOU +175 31%
4 MIN v. IND +110
5 TB v. ATL -320
6 PIT @ CLE -270
7 SEA v. SF -300
8 KC v. OAK -180
9 NYG @ STL -460
10 CAR v. CHI -175
11 ARI v. MIA -265
12 JAC v. BUF -220
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Lots of off games in the ML's, including NE, which was a bummer. NE to me was easy money. But I'm having a hard time believing MIN is the pick over IND - I think Peyton will be out for blood after a bold loss last week. Fortunately, it's off the betting radar for the box.

I LOVE the NE pick, I'd take it all week. A.) They hate the Jets. B.) Favre barely beat last year's weakest team with a host of worthless receivers and a weakened defense. C.) The Pats love rallying cries - I expect Moss to have Tom's face tattooed on his ass for the rest of his season as a show of solidarity. D.) All Cassel has to do is NOT SUCK, and the Pats can win. Not sucking is harder than it looks, but still doable.

TEN and BAL are likely to win with big D, both of which I can get behind. And GB may actually be as good as they seemed on Monday night.

As to NO... they're playing WAS. 'Nuff said.

Picking PHI as a win over DAL is definitely a risk worth taking, given the huge payout and the definte possibility that the real McNabb shows up. In a shootout, DAL has the edge, but Asante will follow TO, so hopefully it can come down to the last possession. A little luck here worth big bucks.

I'll place bets tomorrow on cheap Fridays. Woot!

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