Week 01 - Gambling Power Ranks

Here they are, new and improved - the gambler power ranks. They combine three elements:

1.) Expected performance against an average team (based on the excellent work of Football Outsiders) - measure of the number of expected points per game to expect against an average opponent.

2.) Performance volatility - measures actual performance versus expected performance volatility, kicks in starting Week 2.

3.) Game value - measure of how "important" a game is for a particular team in terms of playoff implications.

By fusing these elements, we have a chart that basically highlights the best scoring predictable teams, with bonus going to teams playing in playoff implication games. Obviously in Week 1, playoff implications are a few weeks off, but much closer than you'd think. For instance, the difference between being 3-2 and 2-3 in terms of playoff implications amount to a stagger 100% (from a 33% chance of making playoffs at 2-3 historically to a 66% chance of making the playoffs at 3-2 historically - numbers from Football Outsiders).

So here are the rankings. My bets are in, as well, and I'll list them soon:

Power Ranks		▲▼
1	NE
2	PHI
3	GB
4	SD
5	MIN
6	IND
7	SEA
8	TB
9	JAC
10	DAL
11	PIT
12	NYG
13	BAL
14	CAR
15	HOU
16	DEN
17	NO
18	ARI
19	CHI
20	CIN
21	TEN
22	NYJ
23	WAS
24	CLE
25	BUF
26	KC
27	MIA
28	DET
29	OAK
30	STL
31	SF
32	ATL
* Excludes BYE week teams!