Week 03 - Box's Prelim Picks

Without further ado, here are the box's early picks. I'll be placing bets tomorrow with cheap juice:

Rank	Pick	Vs	Spd	Bet %
1	TB	@ CHI	+3	26%
2	BAL	v. CLE	-2	25%
3	GB	v. DAL	+3	24%
4	ARI	@ WAS	+3	24%
5	KC	@ ATL	+5.5
6	NO	@ DEN	+5.5
7	OAK	@ BUF	+9.5
8	JAC	@ IND	+5.5
9	DET	@ SF	+4
10	HOU	@ TEN	+5
11	PHI	v. PIT	-3
12	CIN	@ NYG	+13.5
13	NYJ	@ SD	+9
14	CAR	@ MIN	+3.5
15	MIA	@ NE	+12.5
16	SEA	v. STL	-9.5

and ML:

Rank	Pick	Vs	ML	Bet %
1	NE	v. MIA	-800	30%
2	ARI	@ WAS	+150	27%
3	TB	@ CHI	+130	25%
4	KC	@ ATL	+190	18%
5	GB	v. DAL	+145
6	SEA	v. STL	-480
7	BAL	v. CLE	-140
8	PHI	v. PIT	-190
9	MIN	v. CAR	-200
10	TEN	v. HOU	-220
11	SF	v. DET	-200
12	DEN	v. NO	-230
13	IND	v. JAC	-230
14	SD	v. NYJ	-430
15	NYG	v. CIN	-850
16	BUF	v. OAK	-480

That's right, the box is so compelled by New England, it's willing to take a totally worthless payout. And the box highly evaluates payouts - not most other worthless payouts are at the bottom. I'm unclear as to why this is so convicted, but meh - who am I to argue.

I know I have abandoned the parlay for the most part, but I've decided to include a suggested Teaser every week based on the box's historical win percentages. Here's the first one:

TB +9, BAL +4, ARI +9, and KC +11.5. My number 1, 2, 4, and 5 picks have historically done really well. Have yet to figure out what the deal is with that number 3 pick, but it's worth running the numbers to see how I do with these picks. Teasers tend to be so bad in the payouts that you're better off betting each game individually, but when in Rome...