Wednesday, December 19, 2007

Week 16 - The Rankings - Big Jumps, Small Brains

So the rankings are in for Week 16 (overall, beta, alpha, Sharpe). The story? Small minds are making big jumps. Here are the overall rankings:

The Gamblers'
Power Rankings
1 NE
2 IND
3 DAL
4 GB
5 PIT
6 SD ▲4
7 SEA ▼1
8 JAC ▲1
9 MIN ▼2
10 CLE ▲1
11 TB ▲4
12 HOU ▲2
13 NYG ▼5
14 PHI ▲2
15 NO ▲2
16 CIN ▼3
17 DET ▼5
18 WAS ▲2
19 ARI ▼1
20 OAK ▼1
21 TEN ▲2
22 CAR ▼1
23 DEN ▼1
24 NYJ
25 BUF ▲1
26 CHI ▼1
27 STL
28 SF ▲2
29 BAL ▼1
30 KC ▼1
31 MIA ▲1
32 ATL ▼1

The movement outside of the top 5 is ridiculous. The San Diego Chargers have finally made a leap up the ranks, since they've started playing some consistent ball over the last few weeks. Has Norv "What's a Football?" Turner finally figured out how to win?

Hardly.

The Chargers have a 4 game win streak going against some of the toughest competition in the NFL: Baltimore, Kansas City, Tennessee, and Detroit. Powerhouses all. Detroit, the highest ranking of those 4, ranks in the bottom half of the league this week. Tennessee, who early in the season was a nice spreadbuster, seems to have lost steam as teams figure out how to fool Vince Young and Albert Haynesworth was on and off with injuries. KC and Baltimore? Herm Edwards and Brian Billick. 'Nuff said.

The other biggest jumpers were losers: the aforementioned Detroit team, let by a schizophrenic ego maniacal Mike Martz on offense, and a truly terrible New York Giants. Tom Coughlin is just terrible. Last week against Washington, Coughlin's coaching staff called 28 runs and 53 PASSES. 53 PASSES!!! What, are you nuts? Granted, playing from behind often means you are forced to pass more than usual. But the Giants were getting 5.0 ypp on the ground, and 3.1 ypp through the air. Do the math, Tom. I hope the Giants don't make the playoffs, they will be easy pickings for whoever they would face first.

Here are this week's performance rankings:


Sharpe Alpha Beta
Team Rank Rank Rank
ARI 17 13 6
ATL 31 32 27
BAL 30 18 10
BUF 22 30 16
CAR 25 12 21
CHI 23 28 30
CIN 19 4 18
CLE 14 7 25
DAL 4 1 32
DEN 24 25 12
DET 20 5 24
GB 3 11 13
HOU 12 10 2
IND 2 3 23
JAC 5 27 29
KC 29 31 26
MIA 32 16 9
MIN 9 14 3
NE 1 2 1
NO 13 23 31
NYG 15 6 20
NYJ 26 17 15
OAK 21 9 5
PHI 11 22 19
PIT 6 8 22
SD 7 19 28
SEA 8 15 4
SF 28 24 14
STL 27 29 8
TB 10 26 17
TEN 18 21 11
WAS 16 20 7

There have been some major adjustments in the Box this week. In large part because of a massive flaw in one of the major programming aspects. Needless to say, I have been deeply ensconced in the fixing of the issue, hence the slowdown in posts. I will be posting an updated Win % of the Box's Pure Picks, picks that based solely on the base statistics, before any financial mods. Look for it in a few, along with an updated this week's best bets after the early line moves.

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